What are Anatomy’s chances of falling at the Oscars after the Golden Globes?

Justine Triet’s film is an outsider and even an increasingly credible favorite in several categories.

Sunday, Anatomy of a Fall signed a historic double winning two Golden Globesthat of best foreign film and that of best screenplay, a first for a French feature film since the creation of the ceremony, in 1944. A victory which greatly increases the rating of the last Palme d’Or at the Oscarswhich will be held on March 10 in Los Angeles.

“France ruined everything“

The Passion of Dodin Bouffant having been chosen to defend France’s chances at the Oscars, Anatomy of a fall will not be able to compete for best international film, which has not been won by a French film since Indochina by Régis Wargnier, in 1993.France ruined everything“, estimates the Hollywood press the day after the Golden Globes. But he has a real chance of being nominated in other categories, and even of leaving with one or more statuettes.

Anatomy of the fall received the Golden Globe for best screenplay, which is all the more an achievement as this ceremony mixes original and adapted screenplays. Justine Triet and Artur Harari imposed themselves – excuse me – against Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon), Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) or Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (barbie).

barbie out of the game

The couple will therefore logically be the favorites for theOscar for Best Original Screenplayits main competitor, barbie, having been rejected by the Academy (he is eligible for the adapted screenplay). From the novel by David Grann, Killers of the Flower Moon is also absent from this category, as is Oppenheimer (according to the biography Robert Oppenheimer: Triumph and tragedy of a genius). He will face a priori Winter Break, Past Lives, May December And Air.

Remember that winning at the Golden Globes, a ceremony organized by the HFPA (Hollywood Foreign Press Association), is not always synonymous with winning the Oscars. In 2022, Kenneth Branagh made the double with Belfast. In 2023, on the other hand, Martin McDonagh won best screenplay at the Golden Globes with The Banshees of Inisherin before losing to Everything Everywhere All at Once at the Oscars.

A French film won the Oscar for best original screenplay, A man and a womanwritten by Claude Lelouch and Pierre Uytterhoeven, in 1966. Michel Gondry also received this award in 2005 for his English-language film, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind (with Jim Carrey and Kate Winslet), co-written with Pierre Bismuth. The last Frenchman to be rewarded for his writing at the Oscars is Florian Zeller in 2021, in the best adapted screenplay category, for The Fathertaken from his own play.

Triet on the shutter

Neon, the American distributor ofAnatomy of a fallalso campaigned in other categories, includingOscar for best film. According to the latest predictions, he could be one of the 10 nominees but will a priori have no chance against Oppenheimer, the ogre of this 96th ceremony. same for me Sandra Hüllertipped to be nominated for an Oscar for best actress but who should lose to Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) or Emma Stone (Poor creatures) who shared the two prizes awarded by the Golden Globes.

Justine Triet also made a good comeback in the best director category. According to Varietythe filmmaker would now slip into the list of 5 nominees, alongside Christopher Nolan, Martin Scorsese, Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor creatures) and Alexander Payne (Winter Break), overtaking Greta Gerwig and Jonathan Glazer (The Area of ​​Interest) in the final straight. But again, his chances of winning seem minimal.

The Passion of Dodin Bouffant is he in unfavorable ballot in the best Oscar category for best foreign film. Variety currently ranks him 6th, for 5 places available.

The list of nominees for the 2024 Oscars will be announced on January 23.

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